Let’s not get too carried away with the popular demand thing. A couple of people expressed disappointment that I had not given predictions a try in my most recent post. By blogger standards, that is pretty much the same as “popular demand,” hence the picture.
So here is the plan for today. I am going to make some predictions then yield the floor to a longstanding college friend who observes the political scene closely even though his career was 35 years as a business executive in Asia and the US (after some time in politics). I will post his observations as the first comment below the story.
- The President will react no better to intense pressure than anyone else does, perhaps worse. Thus, applying pressure will be a weapon of choice for his adversaries. Mental health professionals will be at the ready while partisan charlatans will be poised to pounce.
- No matter what candidates, office holders, spokespeople, advocates or media outlets might say, the only political goal will be obtaining or keeping power.
- There will be more foolish runs for President than serious ones. Some will be motivated by attention-seeking; some will be runs for cable news jobs rather than elective office; some will be motivated by the ability of the unemployed to pay themselves salaries for running (assuming they can raise the money); and others will be motivated by the next prediction.
- Political strategists will encourage foolish candidacies so they can launch fund raising efforts to pay themselves. Political strategists have mortgages too.
- Fund raising considerations will be the real reason for important governing decisions. Here’s an example: stretch out the government shutdown as long as contributions are flowing. Grandstanding will be the tactic of choice. The words “the American people” will finally be retired thanks to overuse. (Actually retiring those words will not happen though it certainly should.)
- Cable news and partisan media will stretch “excess” to its outer limits and, in some cases, beyond. Outrage and dudgeon will result but both will dissipate quickly.
- Bad taste will continue its ascendancy.
- Stupidity will compete for the top spot with bad taste.
- Hypocrisy rampant. See predictions 7 and 8.
- Clicks will continue to be counted because popularity matters more than quality. Quality might actually be retired though from underuse not overuse (not like the “American people”).
- If you thought the Kavanaugh confirmation process exemplified predictions 2 through 10 above, watch for the firestorm that will happen if Ruth Bader Ginsburg steps down. The prospect of a sixth conservative justice will have to compete hard with the motivations listed in those predictions to be the real driver of the battling.
- The President will not be kicked off Twitter no matter what he says. He is responsible to far too much of the stock price. Note to self: that would be a terrific scene in a political novel.
- There will be a spectacularly embarrassing professional or college sports crisis likely resulting from testosterone, money, attention getting or all of the above. Cheating is another source of crisis though making excuses for cheating has more profound implications.
- There will be a spectacularly embarrassing higher education crisis likely resulting from political correctness, administrative overreach, hypocrisy, sex or all of the above.
- Despite increasingly puritanical efforts, known to fail with near 100% certainty, sex will enjoy its 10,000thconsecutive undefeated season (ever since the last hunter gatherer admonished his friends not to plant those damned seeds and create civilization).
- People will be motivated to improve their lives by leaving crummy countries and moving to better ones. They might not pay complete attention to prevailing laws. See the first dozen predictions.
- International incidents will be staged for domestic political purposes.
- This is more a hope than a prediction and it probably won’t happen anyway but wouldn’t it be nice if something good happened for Melania Trump? She looks miserable and that seems an excessive penalty for a bit of ill-advised gold digging.
- There will be no 19thprediction even though that would match the year. (For sure, I am going to be right on this one even if I blow all the others.)
Now off you go to the first comment by my college friend. He is bravely specific, which leaves him more open to error than me.
Also, most of his have not yet happened while most of mine are ongoing.
Happy New Year. As is my custom of long standing, I will be celebrating Nova Scotia New Year’s several hours before the ball drops.